November 21st: Locks of the Day

By Tom Adoni, IG @TomSportsPlays

How to Bet on Football - NFL Betting Explained

Baltimore Ravens -5.5 Spread against the Chicago Bears

Reasoning: The Baltimore Ravens are coming off their most humiliating loss of the season where they lost 22-10 to the Miami Dolphins on Thursday Night Football. However, they looked very strong against a good Chargers team and I still see them as a contender in the AFC. Also, Head Coach Matt Nagy of the Chicago Bears is 0-3 coming off the bye week in his tenure at the Windy City. I believe we see a comfortable team for the Ravens as they fight with the Browns for the Division.

Ravens QB Lamar Jackson feeling 'much better,' aiming to catch up for game  vs. Bears after return from illness - Baltimore Sun

Indianapolis Colts +7 Spread against the Buffalo Bills

Reasoning: The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a divisional win against the Jacksonville Jaguars. However, they did not cover the spread as favorites in that game and that ties back to my 73% rule (of favorites covering their next game after not covering the previous one). I believe we see a very tight game, similar to last year’s AFC Wildcard matchup between these two teams. The Colts have looked strong in their last 5 after a slow start to the season. They won 4 of their last 5 with the only loss coming against Divisional Rival, Tennessee in OT. Expect the Colts to keep it within a TD even if they end up losing to a Tyler Bass FG.

NFL Week 11 picks, predictions: Colts vs. Bills

Los Angeles Chargers -5.5 Spread against the Pittsburgh Steelers

Reasoning: The Los Angeles Chargers have cooled off after starting the season as one of the hottest teams in the AFC. However, now they have a divisional battle with the Chiefs for the first place in their division. Therefore, I think they have the motive to go out and impress in this Sunday Night Football matchup. I do not see Herbert having any problems against a Steelers defense that is missing Minkah Fitzpatrick and T.J. Watt. I believe we see a comfortable team for the Chargers as they face a pretender Steelers team.

Chargers/Rams - The San Diego Union-Tribune

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